Fernando Ochoa

Interests: Industrial Organization and Market Design of Real Estate and Education Markets

Affiliation: Economics PhD student @ NYU

Contact: nano.ochoa@nyu.edu

I am on the 2025/2026 job market

Job Market Paper

Targeting and Price Pass-Through in Housing Voucher Design Job Market Paper

Housing vouchers are a common policy for expanding access to homeownership, yet their effectiveness is called into question due to concerns over subsidies increasing housing prices and being poorly targeted. I study the equilibrium and distributional effects of homeownership vouchers through the case of Santiago's DS1 program, which subsidizes 7% of the city's transactions and is the largest such program in the OECD. I build an equilibrium model of a housing market with targeted and rationed homeownership vouchers. The model features endogenous voucher take-up and supply responses through existing unit sales and new construction. I estimate the model using novel data on voucher applications and usage, linked to the universe of real estate transactions and new development surveys. I evaluate the equilibrium impacts of the program relative to a scenario without the program, finding that it increases homeownership rates while raising prices. New development plays a significant role in dampening price inflation by increasing the supply of affordable units. Overall, I estimate that each dollar spent yields 61 cents in surplus. Although half of policy spending is transferred to beneficiaries, pecuniary externalities harm non-beneficiaries, reducing net consumer transfers to 25 cents per dollar spent. Counterfactual policies reveal a trade-off between targeting and price pass-through: policies that reduce price pass-through worsen targeting, as assistance goes to households more likely to become homeowners without the program.

Working Papers

Search and Biased Beliefs in Education Markets with Patrick Agte, Claudia Allende, Adam Kapor, and Christopher Neilson Revise and Resubmit Econometrica

Work in Progress

Identifying the Equilibrium Effects of Informed School Choice with Claudia Allende, Adam Kapor, and Christopher Neilson
Public Information Provision: Subsidy and Bureaucratic Efficiency with Daniela Paz, Ricardo Pommer, and Marcela Zapata

We study how physical access to ChileAtiende—Chile's nationwide one-stop service platform—shapes take-up of social programs, with a focus on housing subsidies. We assemble a national, multi-year panel that links (i) the timing and location of ChileAtiende office openings/closures and office-level visit logs, (ii) administrative records on applications and awards for major benefits (with DS01 housing subsidies as a core case), (iii) beneficiary origin and destination addresses to measure distance to the nearest office, and (iv) dated policy announcements that plausibly shift information demand. Our central question is whether improved proximity to an office increases applications and awards—and for whom—versus simply reallocating demand across channels. We test whether effects are stronger for households living nearer (vs. farther) to offices, around office openings, and in response to salient national announcements. The design leverages staggered office rollouts and announcement timing in a difference-in-differences framework with granular location and time fixed effects.

Projects

Domus: Supporting the Navigation of Social Benefit Systems with Javiera Selman and ConsiliumBots Team Funded by Agency Fund

I am in charge of the Domus project at ConsiliumBots, a technological solution designed to address the lack of information and the misuse of social benefits by equipping households with personalized tools to effectively navigate available assistance alternatives.

We are currently focusing on housing subsidies, and planning to expand to other benefits in the future.

We are actively looking for partnerships with governments and local authorities. Please contact me if you are interested in partnering with us.